Is it really home sweet home?

I was browsing through espn.com the other day and I noticed something. It was not the what the future Manny Machado in Baltimore or what the suspension of Robinson Cano will do to his Hall of Fame Ballot.

But, what caught my attention is that MLB teams are winning on the road at a much higher number than previous years.

I’m not here to tell you why this is the case. I’m a numbers guy. I want to show the change in home field advantage in today’s game.

Look at the Atlanta Braves. The Braves finished 2017 in 3rd place in the National League East with a 72-90 record. They compiled two more wins at home than they did on the road in 2017. Forty-two games into the 2018 season, the Braves are sitting atop the NL East. One thing is for sure, if their road record wasn’t where it is, they would not be in that position. Away from SunTrust Park, the Braves carry a 17-8 record. At home, just 9-8.

Sure, they only have played 17 games at home compared to 25 on the road, but check out these numbers from teamrankings.com. At home, the Braves run line is +1.2, whereas, on the road, it increases an entire point to +2.3.

It’s not just the Braves who are winning on the road. Overall, the entire league is having more success away from their home ballparks.

The table below illustrates the number of teams with better records on the road over the last 5 years:

(Stats based on 5/17)

What is the significance of these numbers?

Well, so far this season, 9 teams in the American League win more on the road. NINE TEAMS. That’s the same number the National League had in the last 5 seasons. In the National League this season, 7 teams own better records away from home.

That’s 16 teams. SIXTEEN.

As the season goes on, it will be interesting to see what ends up happening. I leave you with this question to think about:

Will there be more than 16 teams that have better records on the road or will decreases back into single digits?

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